NeoCapCompaniesValuationsScenariosMetrics

Applied Digital Corporation

APLD-πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USA
Price
$15.50
as of Nov 6, 2026
Market cap
$4.7B
as of Nov 6, 2026
Estimated total debt principal$14.13B
Trailing 12-month dilution+13.0%Jul 29, 2025 β†’ Oct 6, 2026
Cash & equivalents$3.68Bas of Aug 31, 2026
Estimated cost of debt9.61%incl. floating estimate
Encumbered capacity250 MW

Basic shares outstanding - Evolution

0100.8M201.6M302.4M157.4M222.9M261.5M279.6M285.8M291.5M297.1M302.4MAug '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26Aug '26Oct '26

Funding the build to end-2030

Capex from the Sites & Capacity estimates at $12M per MW, paid over the twelve months before each delivery, net of the project debt already raised.

Capex to fund$23.06bn2,438 MW to deliver Β· $3.35bn already funded
Equity raised$1.29bn5% dilution a year
Debt to raise$8.58bn385.9m shares at end-2030

Capex by site and year

SiteContractedFunded20262027202820292030To fundMW added
Polaris Forge 2building27%$2.15bnβ€”β€”β€”$1.77bn$2.57bn$4.34bn728 MW
Polaris Forge 3building100%β€”β€”β€”$3.6bnβ€”β€”$3.6bn300 MW
Delta Forge 1building100%β€”β€”$1.8bn$1.8bnβ€”β€”$3.6bn300 MW
Delta Forge 2building100%β€”β€”$1.89bn$630mβ€”β€”$2.52bn210 MW
Polaris Forge 1building100%$1.2bnβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”150 MW
Finland0%β€”β€”β€”β€”$1.2bn$1.2bn$2.4bn200 MW
Unsited 2030 pipeline0%β€”β€”β€”β€”$3.3bn$3.3bn$6.6bn550 MW
Total47%$3.35bnβ€”$3.69bn$6.03bn$6.27bn$7.07bn$23.06bn2,438 MW

Sources and uses

YearCapexOperating cashCash usedEquity raisedDebt to raiseShares outClosing cash
2026β€”$564mβ€”$234m Β· +15.1mβ€”317.5m$3.15bn
2027$3.69bn$900m$2.79bn$246m Β· +15.9mβ€”333.4m$602m
2028$6.03bn$1.46bn$602m$258m Β· +16.7m$3.71bn350.1m$0m
2029$6.27bn$2.98bnβ€”$271m Β· +17.5m$3.02bn367.6m$0m
2030$7.07bn$4.93bnβ€”$285m Β· +18.4m$1.85bn385.9m$0m

Equity at 5% of the share count a year at the latest close; the fair values at date on the Valuation tab grow the share count at the same rate.

Debt stack

Secured notes

Total: $6.09B
InstrumentPrincipalRateMaturityStageSource
$2.15B
6.75%2031OtherJun 17, 2026
$1.59B
7%Jun 15, 2031ClosedJun 16, 2026
9.250% senior secured notes due 2030SPV Β· APLD ComputeCo LLC
$2.35B
9.25%Dec 15, 2030ClosedNov 20, 2025

Convertible notes

Total: $450.0M Β· net: $434.5M
InstrumentPrincipalRateReference priceConversion priceCapped callPrepaid forward repurchaseMaturityStageSource
$450.0Mnet $434.5M
2.75%$9.752030ClosedNov 4, 2024

Revolver

Total: $430.0M
InstrumentPrincipalRateMaturitySecuredRatingsStageSource
$430.0M
SOFR + 225 bpsMay 28, 2029Secured *UpsizedJun 26, 2026

Equity & warrants

No equity-related instruments yet.